About the author
Sarah Whitfield is Markets Editor at PolyGram with a focus on political prediction markets. She has tracked election forecasting since the 2020 US presidential cycle and specialises in benchmarking Polymarket-implied probability against polling aggregators and election-model outputs.
Sarah's beat covers US presidential and congressional contracts, UK parliamentary markets, and major EU election cycles. She analyses how market prices move on debate performance, endorsements, and breaking campaign developments — and where prediction markets lead or lag traditional polling.
Before PolyGram, Sarah covered Westminster politics for a UK national daily. She holds an MA in International Relations.
Areas of expertise
Political ForecastingElection MarketsUS PoliticsUK PoliticsPollingPrediction Markets
Recent articles by Sarah Whitfield
Polymarket vs Betfair: Which is Better for Prediction Markets?
1 April 2026Polymarket vs Betfair
How to Deposit on Polymarket: Step-by-Step Guide 2025
1 April 2026Polymarket deposit
Best Prediction Markets 2025: Full Platform Comparison
1 April 2026best prediction markets 2025
Prediction Market API: Build Your Own Trading Bot
28 April 2026prediction market API
Understanding Prediction Market Odds and Probability
28 April 2026prediction market odds
How to Find Arbitrage in Prediction Markets
1 May 2026prediction market arbitrage
Hedging Strategies Using Prediction Markets
1 May 2026hedging with prediction markets
Prediction Markets vs Polls: Which Is More Accurate?
1 May 2026prediction markets vs polls
Prediction Market Taxes: What You Need to Know
1 May 2026prediction market taxes
Kelly Criterion for Prediction Markets: Size Your Bets
1 May 2026Kelly criterion prediction markets
2026 FIFA World Cup Predictions: Live Odds & Analysis
1 May 2026World Cup 2026 prediction odds
Best Polymarket Alternatives in 2026: Full Comparison
1 May 2026Polymarket alternatives 2026
Prediction Market Regulation in 2026: What's Legal Where?
1 May 2026prediction market regulation 2026
CFTC and Prediction Markets: The Regulatory Landscape
1 May 2026CFTC prediction markets
Building a Prediction Market Portfolio: Diversification Guide
1 May 2026prediction market portfolio
How AI Is Changing Prediction Markets in 2026
1 May 2026AI prediction markets
How Accurate Are Prediction Markets? The Research
1 May 2026prediction market accuracy
What Is a Prediction Market? The Complete 2026 Guide
1 May 2026what is a prediction market
Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting: Key Differences & Which Wins
1 May 2026prediction market vs sports betting
Will Bitcoin Hit $100K in 2026? Prediction Market Odds Analyzed
1 May 2026will bitcoin hit 100k 2026
Decentralized Prediction Markets: How On-Chain Forecasting Works in 2026
1 May 2026decentralized prediction market
How CLOB Works in Prediction Markets: Central Limit Order Book Explained
1 May 2026CLOB prediction market
Polygon & USDC in Prediction Markets: Fast, Cheap, and Reliable Settlement
1 May 2026polygon USDC prediction market
PolyGram Sign Up Guide 2026: Start Trading Prediction Markets in 60 Seconds
1 May 2026polymarket signup guide
Polymarket Alternative for US Users: Trade Prediction Markets Without a VPN
1 May 2026polymarket alternative USA
How Accurate Are Prediction Markets? Research & Evidence from 2016-2026
1 May 2026how accurate are prediction markets
Conditional Prediction Markets Explained: How Nested Forecasts Work
1 May 2026conditional prediction markets
UEFA Champions League 2025/26 Prediction Markets: Winner Odds & Quarter-Final Guide
1 May 2026champions league prediction market 2026
AI Prediction Markets 2026: Trade GPT-5, AGI Timelines & Tech Milestones
1 May 2026AI prediction markets 2026
Boxing Prediction Markets 2026: Undisputed Champions & Title Fight Odds
1 May 2026boxing prediction market 2026
2026 US Midterm Elections Prediction Markets: Senate & House Control Odds
1 May 20262026 midterm elections prediction market
Formula 1 2026 Prediction Markets: Championship Odds, Race Winners & Constructor Title
2 May 2026formula 1 prediction market 2026
Gold Price Prediction Markets 2026: XAU/USD Milestones & Safe Haven Odds
2 May 2026gold price prediction market 2026
NHL Stanley Cup 2026 Prediction Markets: Championship Odds & Playoff Guide
2 May 2026NHL Stanley Cup prediction market 2026
World Series 2026 Prediction Markets: MLB Championship & Playoff Odds
2 May 2026World Series 2026 prediction market
Prediction Market Psychology: 7 Cognitive Biases That Cost You Money
2 May 2026prediction market psychology biases
Prediction Market Community 2026: Telegram Groups, Discord & Learning Resources
2 May 2026prediction market community 2026
Bitcoin Halving Impact Prediction Markets: Post-Halving Price Cycle Odds
2 May 2026bitcoin halving prediction market
NBA MVP Prediction Markets 2026: Jokic, Tatum, SGA & Award Season Odds
2 May 2026NBA MVP prediction market 2026
Premier League Prediction Markets 2026: Title Race, Relegation & Top Scorer
2 May 2026premier league prediction market 2026
Political Prediction Market Strategy: How to Trade Elections & Policy Markets
2 May 2026political prediction market strategy
Are Prediction Markets Gambling? Legal & Academic Perspective 2026
2 May 2026are prediction markets gambling
Polymarket UK 2026 — Complete Guide for British Traders
24 May 2026Polymarket UK
Is Polymarket Legal in the UK? 2026 Guide
9 June 2026polymarket uk legal 2026
Polymarket Deposit UK 2026: Klarna, USDC & Debit Card Methods
9 June 2026polymarket deposit uk klarna
Polymarket Tax UK: HMRC Guide to Prediction Market Winnings 2026
9 June 2026polymarket tax uk HMRC
Best Polymarket Alternative UK 2026: Top Options for British Traders
9 June 2026polymarket alternative uk 2026
Prediction Markets vs Spread Betting UK 2026: Which Is Better?
9 June 2026prediction markets vs spread betting uk
Best Prediction Markets 2026: Full Platform Comparison
9 June 2026best prediction markets 2026
Polymarket App Guide: Mobile Trading in the UK 2026
9 June 2026polymarket app uk
Polymarket Review 2026: Is It Worth Using? Pros, Cons & Verdict
9 June 2026polymarket review 2026
Daily Prediction Markets: How to Trade Today's Events
9 June 2026daily prediction markets
Is Polymarket Safe? Security, Regulation & Fund Protection 2026
10 June 2026
How to Sign Up to Polymarket in the UK: Step-by-Step 2026
10 June 2026