Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: BRUTE (-1.5) vs 9INE (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 9INE (-3.5) vs Brute (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9INE (-3.5) vs Brute (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9INE (-6.5) vs Brute (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: 9INE (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9INE (-3.5) vs Brute (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9INE (-6.5) vs Brute (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9INE (-9.5) vs Brute (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Brute (-3.5) vs 9INE (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket has this contract at **0% YES** on the crowd feed, even though the match between 9INE and Brute is listed for a BO3 in Stake Pulse Beat I Group C and is expected to resolve on the match result, with the usual 50-50 fallback if it is cancelled, tied, or left without a winner beyond the market’s delay rule.[12][3] On Polymarket, buyers are not betting on the abstract quality of either side; they are holding USDC-backed conditional tokens on Polygon whose payoff depends on the event being officially decided within the settlement window.[12][3]
The clearest comparable frame is the pre-match pricing elsewhere: community and odds-style pages lean strongly towards 9INE, with Strafe showing 9INE on 90.9% of votes and Bo3.gg listing 9INE as the outright winner favourite at 1.65 versus Brute at 6.50 for the series.[7][1] That is consistent with broader matchup context, as GosuGamers ranks 9INE at 51 and Brute at 115, while the event pages show this is the first recorded meeting between the teams in this tournament context.[4][7] In other words, a zero-centred YES price on Polymarket looks more like a stale or thinly traded contract than a market that has already absorbed the usual pre-match edge.
A trader should watch for three things: the official start status, whether the BO3 is actually played to completion, and any late schedule change inside the tournament bracket, because Polymarket’s settlement depends on the match outcome or on the contract’s cancellation and delay clauses rather than on third-party score summaries alone.[3][5] Tournament listings place the game in Group C on 2 August, with the schedule still showing it as an upcoming or live fixture across several esports trackers, which means a last-minute postponement, admin delay, or walkover would matter as much as the in-game result itself.[2][5][11]
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Brute (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group C across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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