Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs Isurus (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs Isurus (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this **BESTIA vs Isurus** match at **0% YES** on the USDC-settled, Polygon-based conditional token contract, even though the event page and other venues place the fixture in BetBoom Storm’s group stage and list the market as tied to that BO3. That kind of zero bid usually means the contract has effectively been treated as dead or unresolvable by traders, rather than simply as a longshot outcome, so the first thing a user should check is whether the market has already been expected to settle away from the match result under the event rules. [3][10]
For context, the comparable read is the recent BO3 itself: match trackers show BESTIA beat Isurus 2-1 in the BetBoom Storm group stage, with map scores recorded on Cache, Dust2 and Nuke, and bookmakers had BESTIA as the favourite before play. [1][5][9] In earlier BESTIA-Isurus meetings, BESTIA has also been priced as the stronger side, including a 2-0 win in January 2026, so a 0% market on the win side is not a reflection of the teams’ relative strength so much as a sign to inspect the contract mechanics and timing. [13][5]
The trader watchpoints are the same ones that can move a Polymarket esports market from live to settled: whether the match is officially completed, whether the result is posted before the settlement window closes, and whether any cancellation, delay or forfeit triggers the market’s fallback rules. [3] BetBoom Storm’s group stage ran across 3–11 August, and match pages show this fixture as part of Round 4, so the practical catalyst is confirmation from the tournament feed or results pages rather than any fresh line movement alone. [8][11]
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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