Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Esports (-3.5) vs GenOne (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Esports (-6.5) vs GenOne (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Esports (-12.5) vs GenOne (+12.5) | 10% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Esports (-6.5) vs GenOne (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing the **CYBERSHOKE Esports win** contract at **100% YES** today, which leaves virtually no room for an upset, delay, or non-completion under the current order book. Because the market settles from the match outcome on Polygon via USDC-backed conditional tokens, traders are really expressing confidence that this quarter-final BO3 between CYBERSHOKE and GenOne will be played through to a result before the settlement window closes.
That near-certain price is easier to read when set against the wider pre-match picture. Independent CS2 listings place the fixture in the CCT Europe Series #6 playoffs, with a best-of-three format and quarter-final status, and several preview pages lean towards CYBERSHOKE on outright winner markets. The same sources also show mixed scoreline expectations rather than a clean sweep, which matters because a 100% Polymarket price is not just about who is better; it also implies the match is expected to start and finish normally. GenOne’s recent head-to-head and series context also give traders a useful reference point, since BO3 playoff matches in this tier often move quickly if one side gets early map control.
The main catalysts are operational rather than tactical: confirmed start time, whether the bracket slot holds, and whether there is any late postponement or walkover risk. Liquipedia and match pages show the playoff window running across 7–8 August, while some third-party listings still differ on the scheduled hour, so a delay or reschedule is the key thing to watch for if you are holding the contract near expiry. If the match is played and completed, the conditional token should resolve to the winner; if it is cancelled, tied, or slips beyond the seven-day threshold without a winner, Polymarket’s fallback is 50-50.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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