Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
51% | 49% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
51% | 49% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 49% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs DENDELE CS (+3.5) | 45% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs DENDELE CS (+3.5) | 45% |
| Map 1 Winner | 43% |
| Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5) | 41% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs DENDELE CS (+3.5) | 40% |
| Map 2 Winner | 35% |
| Match Winner | 33% |
Market context
DENDELE CS, a rising Turkish organisation, faces FaZe Clan in a Round of 16 best-of-three matchup at the BLAST Bounty Qualifier on 25 July at 06:00 ET. The conditional tokens on Polymarket currently price DENDELE's victory at 40 cents per USDC staked, implying a 40% probability of the underdog prevailing in a single-elimination format where one loss ends their tournament run. FaZe enters as the established favourite, though the qualifier format—designed to refresh competitive rosters and test emerging talent—has historically produced upsets when structural advantages (map pool familiarity, recent bootcamp momentum) favour challengers.
DENDELE's recent performances in regional qualifiers and online tournaments provide the primary reference point for assessing their capability against a tier-one opponent. FaZe's roster stability and international LAN experience typically translate to consistency in high-pressure rounds, though the organisation has experienced roster churn in 2024 that may affect coordination. Traders should monitor team announcements regarding final roster confirmations and any last-minute stand-ins, which remain common in qualifier events. The 7-day resolution window built into this market's terms creates a secondary consideration: schedule delays or technical issues could trigger a 50-50 settlement, so confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled becomes material information closer to the event date.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bou… on PolyGram
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