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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 73% O/U 3.5 Games 70% Map 1 Winner 64% Map 2 Winner 64% Volume: $247K Liquidity: $749K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner73%
O/U 3.5 Games70%
Map 1 Winner64%
Map 2 Winner64%
Map 3 Winner64%
Map 4 Winner60%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)55%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.552%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)49%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)44%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)44%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)44%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.543%
O/U 4.5 Games30%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-2.5) vs BetBoom Team (+2.5)27%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 73% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between FURIA and BetBoom Team in the Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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