Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-6.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-3.5) vs Imperial (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-6.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-6.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-9.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-12.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+12.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-9.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-9.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-6.5) vs Imperial (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-9.5) vs Imperial (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
Imperial versus BESTIA Academy in the CCT South America Series 4 playoffs is trading at **100% YES** on Polymarket, so the contract is priced as though Imperial’s win is already fully locked in. On Polymarket, that view is expressed in USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens, and the settlement still turns on the official match outcome rather than the market price itself.
That kind of pricing needs context. Imperial are the established side, while BESTIA Academy are the developmental roster, and the market is effectively saying the round-of-16 pairing is a formality. Comparable CS2 markets often lean hard towards the favoured lineup before start time, but the edge can narrow if there are lineup changes, substitute issues or an official schedule shift; recent match listings and bookmaker-style pricing also point to Imperial as the clear favourite[4]. The historical record is not a guarantee, though: these teams have already played competitive series in the broader South American circuit, with previous head-to-heads producing standard BO3 results rather than walkovers[6][7].
For traders, the key catalysts are not abstract sentiment but confirmation that the match actually starts and reaches completion within the settlement window. Any official reschedule, cancellation, or abandonment beyond seven days can force the market towards the contract’s fallback treatment rather than a team result, so the practical risk is mostly administrative and logistical. Live match pages have already recorded an Imperial win in this pairing on bo3.gg, which is consistent with the market’s extreme pricing, but the on-chain payoff still depends on the official resolution path and not on crowd confidence alone[1].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - C… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →