Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs Imperial (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5) | 91% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs Imperial (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-6.5) vs Imperial (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 51% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-9.5) vs Imperial (+9.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5) | 9% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Imperial (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
Market context
Imperial and Fluxo W7M are set for their Upper bracket semifinal 2 in the BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs today, a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike 2 match initially scheduled for 3:00PM ET. On Polymarket, this contract trades at 0% YES for Imperial, implying the crowd expects a Fluxo W7M victory or a resolution to the 50-50 tie condition, despite Imperial’s recent head-to-head dominance.
Historical context from Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá shows Imperial defeating Fluxo W7M 2:1 in a BO3 series, suggesting the current 0% pricing may reflect a market anomaly or specific tournament-form concerns rather than pure skill disparity [1]. In similar esports prediction markets, such extreme divergences from recent match results often correct once live play begins, as conditional tokens on Polygon settle based on actual USDC payouts rather than pre-match sentiment.
Traders should monitor the official BetBoom RUSH B! schedule for any delay notices or cancellation announcements, as a match not played or delayed beyond seven days triggers the 50-50 resolution. The primary catalyst is the match start time; if the game begins but is interrupted, the winner of the completed portion determines settlement. No recent news updates have altered the fixture, so the on-chain price likely hinges on real-time liquidity shifts as the event approaches.
Sources: 1
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - BetBoo… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →