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Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5) 100% Volume: $104K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-6.5) vs MAGICOS (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-6.5) vs MAGICOS (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-3.5) vs MAGICOS (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-9.5) vs MAGICOS (+9.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-9.5) vs MAGICOS (+9.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-6.5) vs MAGICOS (+6.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-3.5) vs MAGICOS (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-12.5) vs MAGICOS (+12.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-12.5) vs MAGICOS (+12.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.50%

Market context

The Polymarket contract for largadosypelados versus MAGICOS in the CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs Round of 16 is currently priced at 100% YES, reflecting a conditional token structure where USDC settlement on Polygon occurs only if largadosypelados prevail. The match is scheduled for 24 July at 6:00PM ET, with resolution dependent on a completed best-of-three series. At present pricing, the market implies zero probability assigned to either a MAGICOS victory or a match cancellation, though the settlement window extends to 25 July at 04:00 UTC to accommodate potential scheduling delays within the seven-day tolerance threshold.

CCT South America events have historically featured volatile qualification brackets where roster changes and last-minute withdrawals occur at higher frequency than established international circuits. largadosypelados enters as the implied favourite, though the 100% pricing suggests either strong pre-tournament positioning data or limited liquidity depth in the conditional token pair. Comparable South American regional playoffs show that matches delayed beyond their scheduled window but completed within seven days settle normally, whilst outright cancellations trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.

Traders should monitor official CCT announcements regarding venue confirmation and player availability through the CCT's social channels, as South American events occasionally face logistical constraints affecting start times. The match begins play on 24 July; any announcement of postponement beyond 31 July would activate the tie-resolution condition. Current USDC depth on the NO side remains minimal, indicating either high confidence in largadosypelados or insufficient market participation at this stage of the tournament.

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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