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Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs HOTU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs HOTU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Map 2 Winner 54% Match Winner 54% Map 1 Winner 51% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $59K Liquidity: $97K Closes: 3 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs HOTU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
54% 46% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
54% 46% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner54%
Match Winner54%
Map 1 Winner51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.544%
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)31%
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)23%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 54% YES probability for Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs HOTU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Team Nemesis and HOTU in the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs HOTU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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