Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: ODK (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-6.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5) | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-9.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-6.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-9.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
ODDIK have already secured a 2–0 victory over Procyon Gaming in their CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage Best-of-Three, meaning the underlying esports match is complete. On Polymarket, this contract trades at 100% YES for ODDIK, reflecting the on-chain certainty that the outcome is settled before the settlement window closes on 18 July 2026. The USDC position on Polygon is effectively locked, as conditional tokens for the ODDIK share are fully backed by the realised result.
Historically, prediction markets for completed Counter-Strike matches resolve instantly once the official score is confirmed by the tournament organiser, with no delay for dispute windows unless a match is abandoned mid-game. In comparable BO3 cases from recent CCT events, contracts showing 100% probability prior to the settlement deadline have resolved without deviation, as the blockchain mechanics simply execute the pre-determined outcome. The 50–50 tie clause only applies if a match is cancelled or delayed beyond seven days, which is irrelevant here given the 2–0 finish.
Traders should monitor the official CCT South America scoreboard for any post-match administrative changes, though such reversals are exceptionally rare in CS2. The primary dependency is the tournament’s final match report, which currently lists ODDIK as the winner with a 2–0 scoreline[1]. No further announcements or schedule updates are expected, as the event concluded on 17 July at 3:00PM ET, aligning with the market’s initial scheduling[2]. The on-chain resolution will occur automatically once the settlement window closes, with no manual intervention required.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT … on PolyGram
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