Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
55% | 45% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
55% | 45% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 55% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 53% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) | 50% |
| Match Winner | 49% |
| Map 1 Winner | 47% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5) | 35% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) | 34% |
| Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) | 25% |
Market context
PARIVISION faces FaZe Clan in the XSE Pro League Semifinal 2 today, a Best-of-3 showdown in the Chinese offline playoffs where the crowd currently prices a PARIVISION win at 47% on Polymarket. This contract trades on Polygon using USDC, where conditional tokens settle automatically once the match concludes or the settlement window closes on 11 July.
Historically, this probability reflects a tight contest between two squads with divergent recent form rather than a clear favourite. FaZe have won seven consecutive games against MOUZ, displaying strong momentum, yet their last meeting with PARIVISION saw the latter secure a 2-1 victory in February [5][9]. With only one series recorded in 2026, the market lacks deep statistical weight, leaving the 47% price to balance FaZe’s current streak against PARIVISION’s proven ability to beat them in a direct series [9].
Traders must monitor the live broadcast for map selections and any potential forfeits, as the market resolves to a 50-50 split if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner [1]. The match is scheduled for 7:00 AM ET, and any delay in the start time or interruption during the Bo3 could trigger the settlement clause before a winner is determined [1][4]. HLTV highlights FaZe’s superior kills per round (0.82) compared to PARIVISION’s 0.77, a key metric that often dictates map outcomes in high-stakes playoffs [3].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro L… on PolyGram
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