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Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 55% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 53% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Volume: $192K Liquidity: $416K Closes: 11 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
55% 45% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
55% 45% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner55%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.553%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)50%
Match Winner49%
Map 1 Winner47%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)35%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)34%
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)25%

Market context

PARIVISION faces FaZe Clan in the XSE Pro League Semifinal 2 today, a Best-of-3 showdown in the Chinese offline playoffs where the crowd currently prices a PARIVISION win at 47% on Polymarket. This contract trades on Polygon using USDC, where conditional tokens settle automatically once the match concludes or the settlement window closes on 11 July.

Historically, this probability reflects a tight contest between two squads with divergent recent form rather than a clear favourite. FaZe have won seven consecutive games against MOUZ, displaying strong momentum, yet their last meeting with PARIVISION saw the latter secure a 2-1 victory in February [5][9]. With only one series recorded in 2026, the market lacks deep statistical weight, leaving the 47% price to balance FaZe’s current streak against PARIVISION’s proven ability to beat them in a direct series [9].

Traders must monitor the live broadcast for map selections and any potential forfeits, as the market resolves to a 50-50 split if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner [1]. The match is scheduled for 7:00 AM ET, and any delay in the start time or interruption during the Bo3 could trigger the settlement clause before a winner is determined [1][4]. HLTV highlights FaZe’s superior kills per round (0.82) compared to PARIVISION’s 0.77, a key metric that often dictates map outcomes in high-stakes playoffs [3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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