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Counter-Strike: regain vs Marsborne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: regain vs Marsborne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs regain (+3.5) 69% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 60% Map Handicap: MARS (-1.5) vs regain (+1.5) 56% Map 1 Winner 50% Volume: $88K Liquidity: $159K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: regain vs Marsborne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs regain (+3.5)69%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.560%
Map Handicap: MARS (-1.5) vs regain (+1.5)56%
Map 1 Winner50%
Map 2 Winner50%
Match Winner50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs regain (+3.5)48%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs regain (+3.5)41%
O/U 2.5 Games40%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 69% probability to counter-strike: regain vs marsborne (bo3) - esl challenger league north america cup #2 playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between regain and Marsborne in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Counter-Strike: regain vs Marsborne (BO3) - ESL Chal… on PolyGram

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