Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Rune Eaters (-6.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Rune Eaters (-3.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rune Eaters (-3.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: SAW.Y (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SAW Youngsters (-3.5) vs Rune Eaters (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SAW Youngsters (-6.5) vs Rune Eaters (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
Rune Eaters face SAW Youngsters in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match within the CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage, scheduled for 27 July at 10:00 AM ET. The conditional token pair on Polygon currently prices Rune Eaters at 100 cents per share, reflecting complete market confidence in their victory. This extreme pricing leaves no room for SAW Youngsters to register a win or for match disruption—the settlement mechanics demand either a decisive Rune Eaters result or a 50-50 split if cancellation, tie, or seven-day delay occurs.
CCT Europe tournaments have historically featured competitive regional rosters with volatile outcomes, particularly in group stages where seeding advantages matter less than form and preparation. Rune Eaters and SAW Youngsters both operate within the mid-tier European circuit, where upsets occur regularly enough that 100% pricing typically reflects either incomplete market participation or strong pre-match intelligence rather than certainty. Recent CCT events show group-stage matches frequently decided by single-map margins, suggesting the BO3 format introduces genuine variance.
Traders monitoring this USDC-settled contract should track official CCT Europe announcements for schedule confirmations, roster changes, or technical issues that could trigger the seven-day delay clause. Player availability, particularly any last-minute substitutions, affects competitive balance materially. The settlement window closes 27 July at 20:00 UTC, providing a twelve-hour buffer after the scheduled start time for match completion, though delays beyond that window would force the 50-50 resolution regardless of in-progress status.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) … on PolyGram
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