Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-6.5) vs SPARTA (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-9.5) vs SPARTA (+9.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5) | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA in a BO3 at **0% YES** today, which means the contract is effectively flat on ex-RUSTEC winning and is instead trading around the alternatives on Polygon with USDC-backed conditional tokens. For a Polymarket user, that matters because settlement is binary on the match result unless the fixture is not played, ends tied, or is delayed beyond the market’s seven-day rule, in which case the contract reverts to 50-50 rather than paying out a side.
The background is mixed: both teams reached the CCT Europe Series #5 playoffs from the Swiss stage at 3-1, but SPARTA entered the bracket with the stronger immediate run, including playoff-qualifying wins over benched gods, G2 Ares and INFINITE. ex-RUSTEC’s results were less clean, with wins over Rune Eaters and Just Players offset by a loss to INOX Division and other recent defeats outside this event. Comparable cases in this tournament have shown that short Swiss records can mask larger form gaps, so a zero price is usually read as the market leaning hard on current momentum rather than overall bracket qualification.
For traders, the main catalysts are simple: whether the match is actually played on the listed schedule, whether either team posts late roster, veto or server updates, and whether CCT’s bracket timing shifts after earlier playoff matches. Liquipedia lists the event as running through 2 August with playoffs in a single-elimination BO3 format, so any postponement would still have to stay inside the seven-day settlement window to avoid the fallback outcome. Match listings on current esports trackers also show some timing variation around the scheduled start, which is worth watching because Polymarket settlement depends on the on-chain contract outcome, not the broadcast schedule alone.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Euro… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →