Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Team Yandex faces 1win in a best-of-two Dota 2 group-stage match at the Esports World Cup 2026, starting today at 11:30 GMT. Polymarket prices the “More Markets” contract at 0% YES, reflecting a near-certain market view that no additional settlement conditions will trigger beyond the standard series result. This contract trades on Polygon using USDC, where conditional tokens lock payouts based on the final match outcome rather than abstract probabilities.

Historically, similar “More Markets” contracts in Esports World Cup group stages have settled at 0% when the series concludes cleanly without disqualifications, forfeits, or rule-based anomalies. In past CIS-region matchups at this tournament, where Team Yandex holds world ranking 2 against 1win’s ranking 13, the market has consistently treated extra-condition contracts as void unless a match is abandoned mid-series [3][8]. The 0% price aligns with this pattern, as bookmakers estimate only a 19% chance for 1win to win the series, while Team Yandex sits at 38% [8].

Traders should monitor the live score feed for any match abandonment or rule interventions, as these are the only catalysts that could shift the contract from 0% to a positive value. The match is scheduled to begin at 11:30 GMT in Group D, and any delay beyond 15 minutes or official cancellation would be the primary trigger for re-pricing [1][5]. No recent team announcements or roster changes have been reported that would alter this baseline, so the current price remains anchored to the expected clean completion of the BO2 [2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.