Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 100% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs Team Syntax (+1.5) | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Game Handicap: STX (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Team Syntax faces Team Lynx in a Dota 2 Best-of-3 at the EPL Masters Play-In Group A, a match originally set for 3:00AM ET on 20 July but now past its settlement window with the market locked at 0% YES for Syntax winning. On Polymarket, this contract trades as a conditional token on Polygon, settled in USDC, where the zero price implies the platform or community has already determined Syntax cannot win, likely due to a forfeit, cancellation, or the match being completed with Lynx securing the required two-game margin [1].
Historically, Dota 2 prediction markets on Polymarket that collapse to 0% before or immediately after a scheduled date typically reflect a confirmed walkover, disqualification, or a completed result where the losing team failed to meet the handicap threshold rather than a simple loss [1]. In comparable EPL Play-In cases, a 0% price often precedes a formal resolution to the opposing team once the match is marked complete or the opponent defaults, with the conditional token mechanism ensuring USDC payouts align strictly with the official match outcome rather than speculative odds.
Traders should monitor the official EPL Masters schedule for any post-match announcements confirming the result or a cancellation notice, as the market resolves to 50-50 only if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner [1]. Recent match data shows Syntax holding a 50% win rate against Lynx’s 40%, but this historical stat is irrelevant if the match was not played or ended in a forfeit, which would trigger the 0% settlement [4]. Watch for the tournament’s official results page or a Polymarket resolution update to confirm whether Lynx won by the required two-game handicap or if the match was voided.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters… on PolyGram
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