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Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 3 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% Ends in Daytime 91% Both Teams Beat Roshan 91% Volume: $167K Liquidity: $196K Closes: 25 Sept 2026
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Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 3 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
Ends in Daytime91%
Both Teams Beat Roshan91%
Ends in Daytime91%
O/U 4.5 Games50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Team Synapse (+1.5)50%
Game 4 Winner40%
Match Winner28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Game Handicap: Team Synapse (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)1%
Game Handicap: YeS (-2.5) vs Team Synapse (+2.5)1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: Team Synapse (-2.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+2.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

The Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand Final match between Team Synapse and Yellow Submarine in the European Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - Eur… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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