Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| Game 3 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 100% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 10% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% |
| Any Player Rampage | 1% |
| Any Player Rampage | 1% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% |
| Any Player Rampage | 1% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% |
| Any Player Rampage | 1% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game 4 Winner | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing Travoman Team vs Stray Team at **0% YES** on USDC-settled, Polygon-based conditional tokens, which means the market is effectively saying the Travoman Team outcome has been fully discounted today. With the settlement window ending on 2026-08-02T21:10:00Z, traders are not just watching match strength but also whether the grand final is actually completed in a way that resolves the contract rather than rolling into the market’s tie or no-result rules.
The historical read-through is not straightforwardly bearish for Travoman. Strafe lists Stray Team as having won the most recent head-to-head 2-0 in late July 2026, but broader archives show Travoman has also taken prior BetBoom Streamers Battle meetings, including 2-0 results in 2025 and 2024, so this pairing has not been one-way over time.[3][12][15] In other words, a 0% price is less a clean signal of certainty than a sign that the contract is being treated as deeply out of the money versus the live event consensus, with the market already assuming Stray’s side of the bracket is far more likely to convert.
The main catalysts are simple: official start time, whether the grand final is confirmed as BO5, and whether the event proceeds on schedule rather than slipping into the market’s seven-day delay clause. Recent listings show the match positioned as the playoff final and indicate it had not started at the time of publication, which matters because a late cancellation, postponement, or format change can still drive the contract to a 50-50 resolution.[7] For Polymarket users, the key on-chain question is not only who wins maps, but whether the event is played to completion before the settlement deadline.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Stray Team (BO5) - BetBoom … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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