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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) 100% Volume: $278K Liquidity: $33K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
First Blood in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Yandex and MOUZ in the BLAST Slam Group C, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if T…

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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