Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing the Execration side at **100% YES**, which effectively treats this best-of-three as a near-certain Execration win in conditional tokens settled in **USDC on Polygon**. The contract resolves to Execration if they beat Amaru Gaming, while a non-played match, a tie, or a delay beyond seven days would push it to 50-50 under the market rules.

That extreme pricing is best read against the wider pre-match context rather than as a literal guarantee. Available match pages show the series listed as a **Bo3** in Games of the Future Group A, with Execration carrying the stronger ranking and the longer stable roster, while Amaru Gaming arrives with poorer recent form and a lower ranking.[2][4][7] Comparable Dota 2 market snapshots from other books and prediction venues still show disagreement, with Kalshi data pointing closer to a split view than to a complete lock, which suggests the 100% Polymarket print is more about thin liquidity or an early information imbalance than settled competitive certainty.[12]

For traders, the main catalysts are procedural rather than tactical: whether the series starts on time, whether the organiser confirms line-ups and bracket status, and whether the match reaches completion inside the settlement window.[1][2][4] The live score pages already list the fixture as started, so the key on-chain question is no longer who wins in theory but whether the result is officially recorded in the event feed before the market’s deadline; any abandon, technical default, or schedule slip would matter directly to resolution mechanics.[1][4][7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.