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Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Ends in Daytime 89% Volume: $377K Liquidity: $647K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Ends in Daytime89%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Match Winner32%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5)0%

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this Dota 2 best-of-three at **0% YES** for Zero Tenacity on USDC-settled, Polygon-based conditional tokens, which implies the contract is effectively treating Level UP as the only live side unless fresh information changes the order book. The real-world event is a Group B Play-In match in EPL Masters, and the market still resolves from the actual result rather than from pre-match sentiment alone.

A zero quote does not mean the outcome is impossible; it usually means the market is thin, mispriced, or anchored by stale assumptions. In comparable esports markets, traders often see these extremes before line-ups are confirmed, when a team is late to post a roster, or when the bracket and start time move around. The settlement mechanics matter here: if the series is not played, ends level, or slips more than seven days past the scheduled date without a winner, Polymarket resolves to 50-50 rather than a side.

For traders, the immediate catalysts are the official match status, any late schedule change, and whether EPL Masters publishes a started/completed series result on time. One available preview source for this fixture leans towards Zero Tenacity, but that is only a single pre-match view and does not change the market’s on-chain resolution rules.[1] The key watchpoint is whether the BO3 actually begins as listed or is postponed, because once play starts the conditional token settles strictly on the finished result.

Sources: 1

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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