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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 4 Winner 71% O/U 3.5 Games 71% Match Winner 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Volume: $207K Liquidity: $267K Closes: 4 Sept 2026
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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 4 Winner71%
O/U 3.5 Games71%
Match Winner69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Game 1 Winner64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Game 2 Winner63%
Game 3 Winner63%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
First Blood in Game 4?51%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
O/U 4.5 Games31%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5)25%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 71% probability to lol: anyone's legend vs lgd gaming (bo5) - lpl playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Anyone's Legend and LGD Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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