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LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Match Winner 63% Game 1 Winner 57% Volume: $73K Liquidity: $253K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Match Winner63%
Game 1 Winner57%
Game 2 Winner57%
Any Player Penta Kill55%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)34%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%

Market context

Polymarket’s contract is pricing **Dplus KIA** at **59% YES** against **KT Rolster** today, with settlement running through the August 9 window and paying out via the usual USDC, Polygon conditional-token structure. For a trader, that means the market is not about scoreline style or map count: it resolves on the match winner in the BO3, and any no-contest outcome, tie, or excessive delay pushes it to 50-50 under the market rules.[7][12]

The current price sits close to the teams’ broader head-to-head profile rather than implying a strong edge either way. Recent comparison pages show Dplus KIA leading the all-time series 17-12, while KT have had their own stretches of better short-run form; the most recent listed meeting on 7 June 2026 ended KT Rolster 3-2 Dplus KIA, which matters because a fresh result like that often anchors expectation around a rematch more than older seasons do.[4][5] Polymarket’s own team page has also shown this fixture around the low-60s for Dplus KIA, so the live market is broadly in line with that prior pricing.[7]

The main catalysts are simple but important: final roster confirmation, any schedule change from LCK, and whether the match actually starts on time inside the settlement window. Because the market resolves to 50-50 if the match is not played or is delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date without a winner, traders are effectively watching for official broadcast and league scheduling updates as much as the in-game matchup itself.[12] At the moment, match listings place Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster on 9 August 2026, which supports the idea that the contract is centred on a live scheduled fixture rather than an uncertain placeholder.[1][10]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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