LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing DN SOOPers at **36%** to win this BO3, so the contract is still leaning towards HANJIN BRION, but not by a wide margin. The market settles via conditional tokens on Polygon using USDC, so the relevant question for holders is simply which side is credited as the series winner before the settlement window closes; if the match is not played, ends level, or is delayed beyond the permitted window, the contract reverts to 50-50.

That probability sits in a range that fits the teams’ recent profile more than a clean matchup edge. Public match listings show HANJIN BRION ahead in the current group standings, while DN SOOPers have spent much of the stage near the bottom, and preview pages also point to BRION having the stronger series record this split[3][4]. Head-to-head data is not especially informative: the sides have met recently, with BRION taking one earlier BO series and another result in the record set showing the matchup can be competitive rather than one-sided[9][10][14]. In that sense, a mid-30s price on DN SOOPers reflects underdog status without implying a blowout.

The main catalysts are straightforward: the match has to start on schedule, complete normally, and produce a clear series winner for the contract to resolve away from the fallback mechanics. Traders also need to watch for any official schedule change, server issue, or broadcast postponement, because those are the kinds of events that can push a contract into the no-result or 50-50 path under Polymarket’s rules. Live score listings currently show the fixture as upcoming around the scheduled time, so the immediate risk is less about team news than about whether the series proceeds exactly as planned[1][2][3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.