Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 53% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 53% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 53% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 48% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 48% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 48% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 48% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 48% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 48% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 48% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 48% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5) | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing **DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers** at **0% YES** for DN SOOPers Challengers, which means the contract is effectively treating KT Rolster Challengers as the only live outcome on the board. On Polymarket, this is a USDC-settled position on Polygon using conditional tokens: if DN SOOPers win the best-of-three, the YES share resolves; if KT Rolster win, or if the match is not played, tied, or delayed beyond the market’s settlement rules, it does not. The match is listed for 10 August at 08:00 UTC, matching the market’s August 10 schedule. [1][10][15]
The historical read is straightforward: these sides have already met multiple times in 2026, and KT Rolster Challengers have taken the recent series, including a 2-1 win on 31 July and earlier 2-0 wins in spring and the LCK CL opening phase. That pattern is consistent with third-party preview markets, where KT are generally shorter-priced than DN SOOPers, and with the broader record that places KT as the more reliable map-winner in this pairing. In practical terms, a 0% DN SOOPers price reflects a market that is not just favouring KT, but is assuming DN’s upset path is remote. [2][4][5][6][8][10][13]
For traders watching the contract into the settlement window, the main catalysts are official match confirmation, any schedule drift, and whether the series starts on time under the LCK Challengers League broadcast slate. Because resolution depends on the actual best-of-three being completed, late rescheduling or a no-show matters as much as the result itself. If the teams load in as scheduled, the market will move on the live series score; if the fixture is postponed or abandoned, the token outcome depends on the league’s final ruling and the 7-day delay rule embedded in the market. [1][10][15]
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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