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LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

Live odds for "LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Any Player Quadra Kill 100% Any Player Penta Kill 100% Volume: $506K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Any Player Quadra Kill100%
Any Player Penta Kill100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Odd/Even Total Kills1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%

Market context

Polymarket is pricing the **T1 Academy** side of this BO3 at 100% of the contract’s implied view only in the sense that the crowd has left **0% YES** on DN SOOPers Challengers, so the market is effectively treating a DN win as a tail outcome. On Polymarket, buyers hold USDC on Polygon and the contract settles through conditional tokens, so the live price is the market’s view of the match result rather than a sportsbook line. [1]

That pricing is not hard to reconcile with the recent record between these teams. T1 Academy won their April meeting 2–1, and multiple results pages show T1 Academy ahead in the broader head-to-head while also carrying stronger recent form in the 2026 standings and an 80% series win rate on the market page. Liquipedia’s Round 3-4 Challenge Group table also places T1 Academy near the top, while SOOPers Challengers sit lower after a weaker match record. [1][4][16]

Traders should watch for any schedule change, broadcast confirmation, or late lineup update, because the contract only resolves 50–50 if the match is not played, ends tied, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner. The listed fixture is for 6 August, with several schedules and match trackers showing the same pairing around that window, so the key catalyst is simply whether the series starts on time and is completed as a standard BO3. [1][3][5][17]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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