Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 100% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 90% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 10% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 1% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5) | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing the **T1 Academy** side of this BO3 at 100% of the contract’s implied view only in the sense that the crowd has left **0% YES** on DN SOOPers Challengers, so the market is effectively treating a DN win as a tail outcome. On Polymarket, buyers hold USDC on Polygon and the contract settles through conditional tokens, so the live price is the market’s view of the match result rather than a sportsbook line. [1]
That pricing is not hard to reconcile with the recent record between these teams. T1 Academy won their April meeting 2–1, and multiple results pages show T1 Academy ahead in the broader head-to-head while also carrying stronger recent form in the 2026 standings and an 80% series win rate on the market page. Liquipedia’s Round 3-4 Challenge Group table also places T1 Academy near the top, while SOOPers Challengers sit lower after a weaker match record. [1][4][16]
Traders should watch for any schedule change, broadcast confirmation, or late lineup update, because the contract only resolves 50–50 if the match is not played, ends tied, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner. The listed fixture is for 6 August, with several schedules and match trackers showing the same pairing around that window, so the key catalyst is simply whether the series starts on time and is completed as a standard BO3. [1][3][5][17]
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LC… on PolyGram
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