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LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Match Winner 59% Volume: $1.1M Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 11 Aug 2026
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LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Match Winner59%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: KRX.C (-1.5) vs BNK FearX Youth (+1.5)0%

Market context

Kiwoom DRX Challengers face BNK FearX Youth in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the LCK Challengers League's Rounds 3–4 trial group, scheduled for 4:00 AM ET on 11 August 2026. The match represents a fixture in South Korea's secondary competitive ecosystem, where academy and challenger rosters compete for ranking points and promotional opportunities. On Polymarket, the contract currently trades at 100% implied probability for a Kiwoom DRX Challengers victory, with settlement contingent on the match occurring within the scheduled window and producing a decisive outcome; any cancellation, tie, or seven-day delay without resolution triggers a 50-50 split of the conditional USDC pool across both outcomes.

The LCK Challengers League operates under structured scheduling with limited historical precedent for cancellations or extended delays. Previous seasons have shown that academy-level matches rarely face postponement beyond 48 hours absent extraordinary circumstances such as venue issues or player health crises. Kiwoom DRX Challengers, as the academy arm of a legacy LCK organisation, typically field rosters with stronger infrastructure and coaching depth than independent challenger teams, though BNK FearX Youth's specific roster composition and recent form remain relevant to underlying match probability.

Traders should monitor official LCK Challengers communications for any schedule adjustments or force majeure announcements in the days preceding settlement. The 100% market price suggests either near-certainty of match occurrence or minimal liquidity depth; any credible reporting of postponement risk would likely shift conditional token valuations on Polygon before the 14:00 UTC cutoff.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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