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LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 0% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 0% Volume: $163K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%

Market context

Eintracht Spandau has already defeated BIG 1-0 in their Prime League 1st Division Regular Season match scheduled for 17 July 2026, with the game concluding at 18:00 local time [1]. The prediction market currently prices a YES outcome at 100%, implying the result is settled and Eintracht Spandau will be declared the winner of this BO1 encounter. On Polymarket, this reflects a fully resolved conditional token position where USDC on Polygon has effectively locked in the payout, as the on-chain mechanics no longer require further uncertainty resolution.

Historically, similar 100% priced esports contracts on Polymarket have resolved cleanly when matches conclude without cancellation or delay, with no recorded cases of retroactive 50-50 settlements for completed games. The 50-50 clause applies only if a match is canceled, ties, or exceeds the seven-day delay window without a winner, conditions not met here given the match’s completion and clear outcome [1]. Comparable Prime League BO1 results have shown minimal post-match volatility once the score is confirmed on official trackers.

Traders should monitor the official Prime League scoreboard and BIG’s team announcements for any rare administrative reversals, though none are expected. The match result is already recorded as BIG 0–1 Eintracht Spandau, confirming the winner without ambiguity [1]. No further schedule dependencies remain, as the settlement window closes on 17 July 2026 at 22:15 UTC, shortly after the game’s conclusion. With the outcome fixed, the contract’s USDC payout is effectively guaranteed for YES holders.

Sources: 1 · 2

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1… on PolyGram

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