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LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5) 100% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $554K Closes: 11 Aug 2026
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LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
O/U 2.5 Games0%

Market context

Frites Esports Club face mCon esports in a League of Legends best-of-three match within the Road Of Legends Regular Season, scheduled for 11 August at 1:00 PM ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices at 100% YES, reflecting conditional token mechanics on Polygon where USDC settlement occurs against Frites' victory. This extreme pricing suggests either overwhelming confidence in Frites' superiority or minimal liquidity depth in the order book—a distinction worth examining before committing capital.

Road Of Legends operates as a regional competition with variable team rosters and preparation cycles. Historical LoL match outcomes at this tier show that 100% pricing rarely reflects genuine certainty; upsets occur when teams field substitute players, experience mid-season roster churn, or face unexpected technical issues. The settlement window extends to 23:00 UTC on 11 August, providing a narrow window for match completion, with tie or cancellation scenarios resolving to 50-50 splits per the contract terms.

Traders should monitor official Road Of Legends announcements for last-minute roster confirmations, schedule changes, or venue disruptions in the 48 hours preceding match time. Recent esports scheduling volatility—particularly around regional qualifiers—has produced delayed matches and rescheduled fixtures. The conditional token structure means any delay beyond 7 days from the original date triggers a 50-50 resolution regardless of eventual outcome, creating a hard deadline that supersedes match completion. Checking team social media and the league's official channels for player availability updates remains essential given the tight settlement window.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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