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LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 75% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 71% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 70% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 68% Volume: $133K Liquidity: $434K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon75%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?71%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Match Winner64%
Game 1 Winner61%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?59%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?59%
Game 2 Winner57%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)39%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)18%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors12%

Market context

Polymarket currently prices this Gen.G–T1 BO3 at **61% YES** on the Gen.G side, with settlement resting on the match result and the contract ultimately cash-settled in USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens.[14] The fixture is a live top-tier LCK clash rather than a speculative long shot: both teams sit near the top of the 2026 Legend Group standings, with Gen.G and T1 each on a 1–1 record in the Rounds 3–4 phase, so the market is reacting to a near-even matchup rather than a clear mismatch.[8][7]

The price is best read against a long run of close head-to-heads. Across their broader recent history, Gen.G have the edge overall, and in the last 12 months they have also led the series count and map score, which supports a modest Gen.G premium rather than a dominant one.[4] Recent meetings have still been volatile: Gen.G beat T1 2–1 in July 2025, but T1 also took a win in the same summer run, and Gen.G’s latest recorded game against T1 was a loss in a Fearless Draft map, underlining how small form swings can move the series outcome.[2][16][18]

For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: official LCK start-time confirmation, any last-minute roster or substitute news, and whether the series actually begins on schedule, because a cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days pushes the market to 50-50 under the rules. Liquipedia and match trackers already list the pairing in the Rounds 3–4 Legend Group slate, and live score pages suggest it is being tracked as an active scheduled series rather than an uncertain placeholder.[1][5][10]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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