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LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5) 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 90% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Volume: $155K Liquidity: $390K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5)100%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%

Market context

Polymarket is currently pricing the **GIANTX iTero vs Team Heretics Academy** contract at **0% YES**, which means the market is treating a YES outcome as effectively not expected at this stage. On Polymarket, traders are buying and selling USDC-settled shares on Polygon, with the contract resolving from the match result or, if the fixture is not completed as specified, from the market’s fallback rules for cancellation, tie, or prolonged delay.[1]

For context, this is a straight BO3 between two academy sides, and recent comparable records show Team Heretics Academy has already beaten GIANTX iTero 2-0 in a prior LES Spring meeting.[2] That kind of head-to-head history matters because academy rosters can be volatile, but repeated results in the same league often anchor trader expectations more than broad team branding does.

The main catalysts are simple: confirmation that the series actually starts on schedule, any roster or draft-side announcements, and whether the live result is ever cleanly completed before the settlement window closes. Third-party fixtures listings currently still show the match as scheduled with a 0:0 scoreline, while Polymarket’s own market page contains the exact resolution language, including the special Game 3 inhibitor condition, so traders should watch both the broadcast status and the on-platform wording rather than assuming a routine match settlement.[1][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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