Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 10% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this contract at **100% YES**, so the market is effectively treating **LOS** as the confirmed winner of the CBLOL regular-season Bo3 against Leviatan Esports. On Polymarket, the trade settles through conditional tokens funded in **USDC** on **Polygon**, so the contract only pays out according to the match result or the market’s fallback rules if the series is not completed as specified. The match page lists LOS as the favourite in the underlying contest, and the live score data shows the series was already in progress, with LOS leading **1-0** at the time of the latest update.[3][1]
That pricing is consistent with the historical shape of this matchup. LOS beat Leviatan **2-0** in April 2026, and the same season’s standings show LOS near the top of the table at **6-1**, while Leviatan sat at **2-5** in the regular season.[13][11] Earlier head-to-head data also points in the same direction: LOS won both prior meetings listed in the available records, including a January 2026 series and the April sweep.[2][13]
For traders, the key catalysts are straightforward: the official match state, any broadcast or schedule changes, and whether the series completes normally rather than triggering the market’s cancellation or delay terms. Because this market resolves to **50-50** if the match is not played, tied, or delayed beyond the stated window without a winner, the main risk is not competitive upset but administrative disruption.[3] The live scoreboard on Sofascore confirms the fixture start time and current series state, which is the most relevant near-term signal for how the contract should settle.[1]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: LOS vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular S… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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