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LoL: Maryville University vs Contingent Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Maryville University vs Contingent Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 2 Winner 100% Game 3 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% O/U 4.5 Games 100% Volume: $325K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 4 Sept 2026
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LoL: Maryville University vs Contingent Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Game 3 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
O/U 4.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon75%
Match Winner66%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 4 Winner0%
Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Contingent Esports (+1.5)0%
Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Contingent Esports (+2.5)0%

Market context

The LoL: Maryville University vs Contingent Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 2 match between Maryville University and Contingent Esports in the North American Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 3, 20…

Methodology

We track LoL: Maryville University vs Contingent Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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