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LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 61% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 61% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $388K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?61%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?61%
Match Winner57%
Game 1 Winner54%
Game 2 Winner54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?44%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)33%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?31%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?31%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)25%

Market context

Market consensus: 65% chance of lol: natus vincere vs giantx (bo3) - lec regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Natus Vincere and GIANTX in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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