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LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 98% Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 78% Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) 63% Volume: $936K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
98% 2% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
98% 2% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?98%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?78%
Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)63%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Game 2 Winner34%
Match Winner17%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?2%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?2%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?2%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?2%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: SHFT (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

The LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season prediction market currently prices this outcome at 98% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and SK Gaming in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 14 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win t…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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