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LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

O/U 3.5 Games 72% Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? 60% Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? 60% Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? 54% Volume: $763K Liquidity: $561K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games72%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?60%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?60%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?54%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
First Blood in Game 3?51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 4?47%
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)46%
Game 3 Winner45%
Game 2 Winner44%
Game 4 Winner44%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?44%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3?44%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?44%
Game 1 Winner39%
Match Winner34%
O/U 4.5 Games33%
Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs Solary (+2.5)21%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: solary vs t1 academy (bo5) - world star challengers invitational playoffs stands at 72% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Solary and T1 Academy in the World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 5:00 A…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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