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LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 50% Any Player Penta Kill 49% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 48% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 48% Volume: $238K Liquidity: $233K Closes: 27 Jul 2026
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LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Penta Kill49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Match Winner47%
Odd/Even Total Kills32%

Market context

Polymarket is pricing T1 at **86%** to beat DN SOOPers in this BO1, with the contract settling in **USDC on Polygon** through conditional tokens tied to the official result. On the current book, that means the market is treating a T1 win as the clear base case rather than a coin-flip, but the single-game format leaves more room for variance than a series.

That price sits in line with recent head-to-head framing and preview coverage that has consistently leaned towards T1, including calls for a straight 2-0 in related match previews and past match reports that describe T1 as the stronger side in this pairing.[2][3][5] For Polymarket users, the relevant comparison is not just raw team strength but how often an early-game draft or one fight can swing a BO1, which keeps even heavily favoured contracts from trading at 95% or higher.

The main catalysts are straightforward: confirm the match actually starts on schedule, check the official KeSPA Cup bracket and stream listings, and watch for any last-minute roster or format notes that could affect whether the game is played to completion. Because this market resolves to **50-50** if the match is not played, ends tied, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner, any scheduling disruption is more material than it would be in a standard sports result market.[1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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