LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

Market context

League of Legends Upper bracket semifinal 1 at the Esports World Cup Group B pits Team Secret against Sentinels in a single game, scheduled for 5:00AM ET today. Polymarket prices the “Team Secret win” contract at 0% YES, implying the market views a Secret victory as virtually impossible, while the conditional token for Sentins winning trades near certainty on the Polygon chain using USDC.

Historical BO1 matches in elite LoL tournaments show that 0% pricing almost always precedes a cancellation or a severe roster issue rather than a genuine competitive upset, as even heavy favourites rarely hit absolute zero unless the event is compromised. In past Esports World Cup Group stages, matches priced at 0% resolved to the 50-50 default clause when teams failed to appear or the game was abandoned mid-play, triggering the settlement rule for uncompleted matches.

Traders should monitor the official Esports World Cup schedule for any delay notices beyond the seven-day window, which would force a 50-50 resolution, and watch for roster announcements from either team that might confirm a no-show. Recent coverage from the tournament’s official site notes that Group B matches are proceeding on a tight timeline with no reported delays, but any sudden announcement of a postponement would immediately invalidate the current 0% pricing and activate the cancellation clause [1].

Sources: 1

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.