LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

Team Solid has already defeated RMD Gaming 1–0 in their Circuito Desafiante Regular Season match, confirming the outcome before the settlement window closes on 21 July 2026 [1]. This real-world result explains the 100% YES crowd-implied probability on Polymarket, where the contract trades in USDC on Polygon using conditional tokens that lock payout based on the verified winner.

Historically, LoL BO1 matches in regional Brazilian circuits like CBLOL rarely end in ties or cancellations, and when a team secures a win before the settlement deadline, markets resolve decisively to that victor. In comparable cases from the 2025 CBLOL season, contracts with 95–100% implied probability resolved to the winning team within hours of match completion, with no 50–50 splits unless the game was abandoned mid-play due to technical failure.

Traders should monitor the official CBLOL match log for any post-match disqualifications or rule-based reversals, though such events are exceptionally rare in regular-season play. No recent announcements suggest schedule changes or team suspensions affecting this fixture, and the match’s completion status is already confirmed on Sheep Esports, the primary data source for CBLOL results [1]. With the outcome settled and no pending dependencies, the on-chain contract will resolve to “Team Solid” once the settlement window opens.

Sources: 1

Methodology

We track LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.