Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is currently pricing the ZYB Esport v Skillcamp Esport BO1 contract at **0% YES**, which means the market is assigning essentially no probability to a ZYB settlement under the current order book. On Polymarket, that wager is held in **USDC** on **Polygon**, and the outcome is ultimately determined by the contract’s conditional tokens at resolution, not by the live scoreline while the match is in progress.
That zero bid needs to be read against the match history rather than the abstract pairing. A comparable listed result on EGamersWorld shows ZYB beating Skillcamp **1-0** in a LoL match, with the game lasting **40 minutes**, which is a reminder that this fixture has not been one-way in competitive terms.[1] In prediction-market terms, a 0% screen price usually reflects either a stale book, no liquidity, or a very strong consensus that one side has already locked up the event; it does not, by itself, establish the actual sporting probability.
For traders, the main catalysts are whether the LFL fixture has started, whether there is an official result posted, and whether the match was completed or abandoned under the market’s settlement rules. Because this market resolves to **50-50** if the game is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond the stated window without a winner, any schedule change, broadcast delay, or abandonment notice can matter more than pre-match form. The key practical check is whether an authoritative league or match listing confirms a completed winner before the 7-day timeout embedded in the contract.
Sources: 1
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regu… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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