Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

Market context

The Valorant match between All Gamers and Bilibili Gaming in the VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega is scheduled to begin today at 5:00 AM ET, yet the Polymarket contract for an All Gamers win sits at a 0% implied probability. On Polygon, traders are pricing this USDC-denominated conditional token as a near-certain loss for All Gamers, reflecting a stark consensus that Bilibili Gaming will dominate the BO3 series.

Historically, 0% prices on Polymarket for active esports fixtures rarely persist unless a team has already forfeited or is disqualified before the first map. Comparable cases in VCT regional leagues show that such extreme pricing usually corrects sharply if a roster change is announced late or if a server outage delays the start, triggering the market’s 50-50 cancellation clause. However, with no public indication of a forfeit, the current price suggests traders view Bilibili Gaming’s roster depth and recent Stage 1 form as insurmountable for All Gamers.

Traders should monitor the official VCT China schedule and Bilibili Gaming’s social channels for any last-minute roster announcements or delay notifications, as these are the primary catalysts that could shift the probability. A recent update from the VCT China official site confirms the match is still listed as live for today, meaning the 0% price holds only if the game proceeds without interruption [1]. If the match begins but is not completed, the market resolves to 50-50, creating a potential arbitrage opportunity if delays occur.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.