Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Match Winner | 47% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: DRG (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing All Gamers at **56%** against Dragon Ranger Gaming in this best-of-three, so the contract is trading close to a coin flip but with a modest lean towards All Gamers. On Polymarket, the position settles in USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens, with the result determined by whether All Gamers or Dragon Ranger Gaming win the match; if the fixture is not played, ends level, or drifts beyond the settlement rules without a winner, it falls back to 50-50.
That midpoint price is broadly consistent with a market that has some recent evidence pointing both ways. Strafe’s community vote is much more bullish on All Gamers, with 81.9% backing them, while head-to-head data from Ensigame shows the teams have met seven times, with All Gamers winning four and Dragon Ranger Gaming three.[1][2] But the last cited VCT China result between the sides went Dragon Ranger Gaming’s way 2-1, which is the sort of recent comparable that can keep a live price from running away to the favourite even when the historical edge is slightly positive for All Gamers.[3]
For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: confirmation that the series starts on schedule, whether either roster changes before lock, and any movement in the official VCT China Stage 2 schedule that would affect the seven-day fallback window. Valo2Asia’s Stage 2 coverage shows both teams in the same playoff picture, which underlines that this is a live competitive fixture rather than an exhibition, so late bracket or schedule updates matter because they can change whether the match is actually played in time.[4]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) -… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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