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Valorant: EDward Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: EDward Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5) 100% Volume: $218K Liquidity: $3.5M Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Valorant: EDward Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs All Gamers (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs All Gamers (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs All Gamers (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%

Market context

EDward Gaming vs All Gamers in VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders is priced on Polymarket as a **100% YES** contract, so the market is effectively assuming an EDward Gaming win already. On Polymarket, traders are holding USDC on Polygon and the outcome is settled via conditional tokens, so the price reflects the crowd’s read on the match rather than the broader tournament narrative; in practical terms, a 100% print leaves almost no room for late surprise unless the fixture changes, is voided, or the settlement rules are triggered.

That sort of pricing is consistent with a heavy favourite rather than a genuinely open BO3. Strafe’s match page shows EDward Gaming with **90.9%** of user votes versus **9.1%** for All Gamers, which is directionally aligned with Polymarket’s near-unanimous stance.[2] EDward Gaming also entered Stage 2 with strong seeding credentials after a solid points position in the China region, which helps explain why traders may be treating this as a routine favourite spot rather than a coin flip.[3]

The main catalysts are operational, not narrative: whether the series starts on time, whether the official schedule changes, and whether any technical or competitive issue affects completion before the settlement window closes. Polymarket’s rules matter here, because cancellation, a tie, or a delay beyond seven days without a winner would push the market to **50-50**, while a match that begins but is not completed is handled by the stated completion rules rather than by pre-match expectations.[1] For a contract already sitting at 100%, the real trading risk is less about who wins and more about whether the event proceeds exactly as scheduled and can be cleanly resolved.[1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: EDward Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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