Israeli parliament dissolved by 2026?

Platform comparison

Market context

The sitting Israeli Knesset remains intact as of mid-July 2026, with no dissolution occurring between the market’s specified window of September to October 2025. On Polymarket, this contract trades at 0% YES, reflecting the on-chain consensus that the legislative body survived its critical June 2025 votes. Traders holding USDC on Polygon see conditional tokens for “No” dominating liquidity, as the event window has already closed without the required legislative action.

Historically, Knesset dissolution requires a formal law passed by 61 members under Basic Law section 34, involving three plenum readings and committee approval [8]. In June 2025, an opposition-backed motion failed with 61 opposing and 53 supporting, while a government-backed bill later advanced unanimously through preliminary and first readings but stalled before final approval [1][2][3]. No subsequent dissolution occurred before the October 27, 2025 election deadline, confirming the parliament’s continuity through the settlement window.

Key catalysts a trader should monitor include any surprise coalition collapses, budget failures (which auto-dissolve the Knesset), or new legislative pushes for early elections [8]. However, since the market’s resolution period ended in October 2025 and no dissolution happened, further political developments are irrelevant to this contract’s outcome. The definitive resolution source—official Israeli government records—confirms the Knesset was not dissolved during the specified timeframe [1][5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.