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PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner

Comparison of odds and platforms for "PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Michael Thorbjornsen 59% J.J. Spaun 46% Stephan Jaeger 35% Johnny Keefer 20% Volume: $233K Liquidity: $456K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
59% 41% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
59% 41% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Michael Thorbjornsen59%
J.J. Spaun46%
Stephan Jaeger35%
Johnny Keefer20%
Davis Thompson20%
Peter Malnati19%
Marco Penge19%
Sung-Jae Im18%
Corey Conners18%
Ryo Hisatsune18%
Austin Eckroat18%
Keita Nakajima15%
Davis Riley13%
Emiliano Grillo12%
Harris English9%
Ze-Cheng Dou8%
Hideki Matsuyama8%
Xander Schauffele5%
Keegan Bradley4%
Benjamin James3%
Ricky Castillo2%
Henry Lebioda2%
Luke Clanton2%
Rickie Fowler1%
Ryan Gerard1%
Patrick Fishburn1%
Doug Ghim1%
Michael Kim1%
Chris Kirk1%
Mark Hubbard1%
Kevin Yu1%
Patrick Cantlay1%
Jordan L. Smith1%
Si Woo Kim1%
Jackson Koivun1%
Jordan Spieth1%
Matt Wallace1%
Cameron Young1%
Jacob Bridgeman1%
Russell Henley1%
Kevin Roy1%
Kristoffer Ventura1%
Brandt Snedeker0%
Eric Cole0%
Rico Hoey0%
Gordon Sargent0%
Adam Schenk0%
Neal Shipley0%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout0%
Akshay Bhatia0%
Tony Finau0%
Chris Gotterup0%
Ben Griffin0%
David Lipsky0%
Max McGreevy0%
Sam Stevens0%
Aaron Wise0%
Matt Kuchar0%
Zach Bauchou0%
Steven Fisk0%
Max Greyserman0%
Billy Horschel0%
Stefano Mazzoli0%
Matt McCarty0%
Thorbjorn Olesen0%
Jackson Suber0%
Adam Svensson0%
Nick Taylor0%
Karl Vilips0%
Vince Whaley0%
Justin Lower0%
Zac Blair0%
Jimmy Stanger0%
Chandler Blanchet0%
Brian Campbell0%
Rafael Campos0%
Pierceson Coody0%
Joel Dahmen0%
Brad Dalke0%
Cam Davis0%
A.J. Ewart0%
Brice Garnett0%
Garrick Higgo0%
Joe Highsmith0%
Lee Hodges0%
Tom Hoge0%
Nicolai Hojgaard0%
Mackenzie Hughes0%
Patton Kizzire0%
Jake Knapp0%
Mac Meissner0%
Matthieu Pavon0%
Andrew Putnam0%
Chad Ramey0%
Ryan Ruffels0%
Matthias Schmid0%
Webb Simpson0%
Kevin Streelman0%
Dylan Wu0%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 59% YES probability for PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Rocket Classic tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Rocket Classic tournament based on the of…

Methodology

This page reviews PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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