Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
76% | 24% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
76% | 24% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 76% |
| O/U 0.5 | 68% |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 0.5 | 68% |
| CA Tucumán O/U 0.5 | 66% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 57% |
| CA Tucumán O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| CA Tucumán O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| CA Tucumán 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| CA Tucumán 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Both Teams to Score | 22% |
| O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5) | 9% |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5) | 8% |
| CA Tucumán (-1.5) | 7% |
| CA Tucumán (-2.5) | 6% |
| O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| O/U 5.5 | 2% |
| O/U 4.5 | 1% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 1% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| CA Tucumán 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| CA Tucumán 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia - More Markets — current market-implied probability: 76%. More markets for the Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for July 26 at 2:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia - More Mar… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →