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Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet

Five-platform snapshot of "Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 Winner 100% Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Match O/U 21.5 100% Volume: $423K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 Winner100%
Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Match O/U 21.5100%
Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Match O/U 22.5100%
Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Match O/U 23.5100%
Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet0%
Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 Winner0%
Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of croatia open: luca van assche vs titouan droguet. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Titouan Droguet in the Croatia Open, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

We track Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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