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Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 74% Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Match O/U 21.5 56% Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 1 O/U 9.5 52% Completed Match 50% Volume: $74K Liquidity: $342K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 1 O/U 8.574%
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Match O/U 21.556%
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 1 O/U 9.552%
Completed Match50%
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Match O/U 22.548%
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set Handicap +/-1.545%
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Match O/U 23.542%
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Total Sets: O/U 2.540%
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 1 Winner35%
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 2 Winner34%
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic30%
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 1 O/U 10.526%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 74% YES probability for Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic. This market refers to the tennis match between Kilian Feldbausch and Miomir Kecmanovic in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kilian Feld…

Methodology

This page reviews Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic on PolyGram

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