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San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas

Live odds for "San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas 100% Completed Match 100% San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 Winner 100% San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $125K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas100%
Completed Match100%
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 Winner100%
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 Winner100%
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 21.5100%
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set Handicap +/-1.50%
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 22.50%
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 10.50%
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to san marino: mili poljicak vs juan pablo varillas. This market refers to the tennis match between Mili Poljicak and Juan Pablo Varillas in the San Marino, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mili Poljic…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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